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Where Bottom Feeders Are Finding The Best Pickins’ May 4th, 2008

With prices falling in many parts of the country and the number of foreclosures rising, a small yet growing number of bargain-hunting buyers are seeing an upside to the real estate market. Here are three categories of buyers who see silver linings in all these thick clouds of foreclosures.

First Time Buyers - Beyond the Bay Area and California’s borders there are happy stories about first-time homebuyers who used to be frustrated by the pricey market of yesteryear. Today, they are among those most attracted to real estate today.  In November 2007, 39 percent of buyers nationwide were first-timers, up from 36 percent in 2006, according to NAR. 

In San Francisco, first-timers on a budget head to neighborhoods in what we call “District 10″ — places like the Bayview, Portola and Silver Terrace neighborhoods. (See my sale in the Bayview for an example of the kind of deal you can get in these neighborhoods today).  Within San Francisco, these neighborhoods have the highest foreclosure rates (although they are not nearly as bad as other parts of the country).

International buyers are also jumping into the market. In San Francisco, we hear all the time about Pacific Rim buyers snapping up the high-end units in luxury buildings like the Infinity or the Millennium.  Foreign investors also looking at opportunities in the U.S. real estate market because their Euro goes so much further– declines in the value of the dollar against other currencies and lower prices translate into a discount of up to 30 percent for some foreign buyers.

Investors also cross state borders, seeking bargains in those markets hardest hit by the real estate downturn.  Some even buying properties sight-unseen for conversion to rentals until the market heats up again – a risky proposition, according to some observers.

You can read the full story in USA Today–


Retail Condos - Thinking out of the Box April 30th, 2008

Retail condos, according to a recent article in the San Francisco Business Times, are becoming a popular alternative for small businesses. Owning your own space instead of renting it is a great way to for shop owners to eliminate ugly rent increases when it’s time to renegotiate the lease. It also eliminates the threat of a landlord easing you out when more favorable tenants come a courting. .

Many developers also see a benefit to retail condos.  With hundreds of living spaces stacked on top of one another in neighborhoods like Mission Bay or SOMA, retail goods and services that can serve the residents is a big draw. Usually the market for a retailer lives within 1/2 a block,  so these larger new building off an immediate customer base. Whole Foods Market, which occupies two contiguous commercial condos on the ground floor at The Potrero, is a perfect example. The store is one of the project’s biggest draws for prospective buyers who love the idea of running downstairs for a cup of Peet’s or healthy grab-and-go food.

To buy their condos, many small businesses are turning to the SBA’s 504 loan program. These loans are designed specifically for property acquisition and only require 10% down. That’s far less than the 25-30% a traditional lender requires for a commercial investment.

(Caveat– last I heard, the SBA loan process is onerous and requires copious amounts of paperwork– so look carefully before you leap at this option).

Purchase prices for new retail condos run about $500/square foot.  but you can occasionally find a retail space in an older mixed-use building. Right now there’s a storefront office on Divisadero at Pine– approximately 750 square feet listed for $429,000, and a tiny storefront at the corner of  Larkin and Jackson that used to be a nail salon listed for $155,000. Keep in mind that both of these listings are TIC units and will not qualify for the SBA financing.

At Paragon we have a handful of commercial condos for sale and/or lease along the Van Ness corridor.  Please call me if you would like more information.

Purchase prices for retail condos in the city are running around $500 per square foot, she said. The demographics for the buyers of the new residential condos are also attractive — lots of young couples without kids and downsized baby boomers who are clearly not living on fixed incomes.

Retail condo buyers, House said, represent a varied landscape — restaurants, home decor, wine bars, coffee cafes and service business that include optometrists, dentists and spas.

Things to ponder
Business condos certainly come with their own set of potential problems — just as with residential condos, retail condo owners are part of an owners association and must agree on marketing decisions, which might include who they allow to buy in the building and other provisions. But there are no lawns for a neighbor’s dog to soil and no one will complain about late night piano practicing.

Some developers and management companies are being as cautious as little old ladies crossing a busy street — building in soundproofing, extra ventilation and thicker walls and flooring to buffer upstairs tenants from restaurants. One Florida mixed-use project, next to a busy port, is requiring that residents to agree not to sue over noise.


What You Get for How Much Where April 16th, 2008
Paragon
SF Skyline
April 2008


February 2008
SF House & Condo


Median Price: $791,500
(Up 3.5 % from 2/07)
Unit Sales: 292
(down 23% from 2/07)
Median Days on Market: 34
(down 8 days from 2/07)
Homes for Sale: 1945
(up 23% from 2/07)


Market Conditions by Neighborhood*


ExcellentNoe/Castro/Haight: house
Pac Hts/Marina: house
GoodNoe/Castro/Haight: condo
Pacific Hts/Marina: condo
Richmond/Lake: house
Hayes Vly/Alamo: condo
St Francis/W Portal: house
Sunset/Parkside: house
FairRussian & Nob Hills: condo
SOMA/Mission: condo
Weak or PoorBayview/Portola/Excelsior* Seller Perspective, per Chicago Title Market Condition Report, March 2008


“Despite it being extraordinarily costly, the Bay Area still offered enough economic incentives, innovation and amenities to offset the expense of living there.If I had to give advice, I would say to buy homes closer to the core, not in the outlying areas.The really knowledge driven people.use their time more efficiently, so center locations have become more valuable.”-Richard Florida, Who’s Your City
What You Get for How Much WhereRecent San Francisco Sales at Selected Price PointsFor about $11,000,000
6 BR, 6.5 BA, 8800 sq.ft., 1923 Cow Hollow Edwardian, GG Bridge to Alcatraz views; 3 car pkg, den, office, atrium, solarium, 3 fireplaces, garden, elevator. $1250/sq.ft.

For about $8,000,000
5 BR, 4.5 BA, 1927 Spanish Med “villa” in Marina by Palace of Fine Arts, park/lake view; 2 car pkg, library, office, atrium, gym, guest suite, yard.
For about $6,500,000
3 BR, 3.5 BA, 1963 Russian Hill Art Deco co-op, 300° views of bridges, bay, dwntwn; 3 car pkg, den, family rm, deck, doorman.
For about $5,000,000
4 BR, 5.5 BA, 3330 sq.ft., 2001 Four Seasons Hotel condo, 280° views of bay/dwntwn/ocean; 1 car valet pkg, guest qtrs, office. $1500/sq.ft.

For about $2,500,000
4 BR, 4.5 BA, 3886 sq.ft., 2000 Noe Vly house; 3 car pkg, yard, deck. $630/sq.ft.
4 BR, 4 BA, 3272 sq.ft., 1922 Sea Cliff home, GG bridge vw; 2 car pkg, deck. $769/sq.ft.
4 BR, 3 BA, 3840 sq.ft. Pac Hghts condo; 1 car pkg, family room, office. $650/sq.ft.
For about $2,000,000
6 BR, 3 BA, 1900 Buena Vista Vict, park/dwntwn views; 1 car pkg, garden. $500/sq.ft.
5 BR, 4 BA, 1933 Balboa Ter Spanish Med, ocean view; 1 car pkg, library, wine cellar.
4 BR, 3.5 BA, 1891 Queen Anne Alamo Sq. Vict dwntwn view; 1 car pkg. $502/sq.ft.
3 BR, 2 BA, 1950 sq.ft., 1906 Presidio Hts Edward condo, bay views; 3 car pkg. $1038/sq.ft.
1 BR, 1.5 BA, 1230 sq.ft. Nob Hill Penthouse, 360°vws; 1 car pkg, deck, den. $1584/sq.ft.

For about $1,500,000
3 BR, 2 BA, 1740 sq.ft., 1949 Clarendon Hts fixer, pano views; 2 car pkg. $862/sq.ft.
3 BR, 2 BA, 2060 sq.ft., 1922 condo on Mtn Lake Pk, lake view; 1 car pkg. $743/sq.ft.
2 BR, 2 BA, 1949 sq.ft., 2004 So Beach loft, bay views; 2 car pkg, doorman. $780/sq.ft.
Two 3+ BR Edwardian Park Presidio flats, 4200 sq.ft., need work; 4 car pkg. $357/sq.ft.

For about $1,250,000
4 BR, 3 BA, 1929 Spanish Med home in Miraloma Park; 1 car pkg, 2 master suites.
3 BR, 2 BA, 1534 sq.ft., top flr, 1999 N. Panhandle condo, park view; 2 car pkg. $831/sq.ft.
2 BR, 2 BA, 1821 sq.ft., 1960 Potrero home, bay views; 2 car pkg, fam rm. $664/sq.ft.
2 BR, 2 BA, 1480 sq.ft., 1929 Marina condo, Pac Hghts view; 1 car pkg. $844/sq.ft.
2 BR, 1 BA, 1430 sq.ft., 1937 Cole Vly house; 1 car pkg, bonus rm, yard. $885/sq.ft.
For about $1,000,000
4 BR, 3.5 BA, 1996 sq.ft., 1931 Marina-style Sunset home; 1 car pkg, yard. $488/sq.ft.
3 BR, 2 BA, 1622 sq.ft., top flr Edwardian TIC in Jordan Park; 1 car pkg. $617/sq.ft.
3 BR, 1 BA, 1740 sq.ft., 1914 Inner Richmond Edwardian; 1 car pkg, sunroom. $586/sq.ft.
2 BR, 2 BA, 1772 sq.ft., 2003 Mission Bay loft, city lights view; 1 car pkg, den. $593/sq.ft.
2 BR, 1 BA, 1880 sq.ft., 1910 Glen Pk Vict, city lights view; 1 car pkg. $535/sq.ft.
For about $800,000
3 BR, 2 BA, 1375 sq.ft., 1912 Bernal Hghts Vict; 2 car pkg, deck. $581/sq.ft.
3 BR, 1.5 BA, 1672 sq.ft., 1907 Dwntwn brick carriage house; 1 car pkg. $478/sq.ft.
2 BR, 3 BA, 1588 sq.ft., 2002 3-lvl SOMA loft; 1 car pkg, deck. $508/sq.ft.
2 BR, 2 BA, 1203 sq.ft., 1995 top flr Mission Dolores loft, dwntwn vw; 1 car pkg. $665/sq.ft.
2 BR, 1 BA, 1460 sq.ft., 1923 Westwood Pk bungalow, needs work; 1 car pkg. $540/sq.ft.

For about $650,000
3 BR, 1 BA, 1460 sq.ft., 1900 Hayes Vly TIC; 1 car leased pkg. $469/sq.ft.
2 BR, 1 BA, 941 sq.ft., 1958 Midtown Ter fixer, Twin Peaks view; 2 car pkg. $703/sq.ft.
1 BR, 1 BA, 737 sq.ft., 2004 South Beach top flr condo; 1 car pkg. $868/sq.ft.
For about $275,000
2 BR, 1 BA, 600 sq.ft., gutted Ingleside Hghts home, contractor’s special. $433/sq.ft.
1 BR, 1 BA, 610 sq.ft., Bay View Hghts contractor’s special; no pkg, city views. $451/sq.ft.

As always, the devil’s in the details: exact location, condition, quality of construction & renovations, curb appeal, views, lot size and many other factors, all impact real estate values.
Per San Francisco MLS: subject to errors, omissions or revisions and not warranted.

Cece Blase
Cece’s BIO
180 Redwood Street #350
San Francisco, CA 94102
Direct 415-738-7214
Fax 415-738-7264
Mobile 415-577-0809
cblase@paragon-re.com
http://www.sfrealestatebuzz.com

If you’d like more information regarding
these or other sales, please contact me.
For market stats specific to your neighborhood, visit:
www.paragon-re.com/UpdateReport.htm